James P Hogan. Inherit The Stars. Giant Series #1

intermediate fossils as having inherited their common pattern from

the earliest recorded ancestors of the vertebrate

line”-Danchekker’s voice rose to a crescendo-“from the first boned

fish that appeared in the oceans of the Devonian period of the

Paleozoic era, over four hundred million years ago!” He paused for

this last to take hold and then continued. “Charlie is as human as

you or i in every respect. Can there be any doubt, then, that he

shares our vertebrate heritage and therefore our ancestry? And if

he shares our ancestry, then there is no doubt that he also shares

our place of origin. Charlie is a native of planet Earth.”

Danchekker sat down and poured himself a glass of water. A hubbub

of mixed murmurings and mutterings ensued, punctuated by the

rustling of papers and the clink of water glasses. Here and there,

chairs creaked as cramped limbs eased themselves into more

comfortable positions. A metallurgist at one end of the table was

gesturing to the man seated next to her. The man shrugged, showed

his empty palms, and nodded his head in Danchekker’s direction. She

turned and called to the professor. “Professor Danchekker . . .

Professor . . .” Her voice made itself heard. The background noise

died away. Danchekker looked up. “We’ve been having a little

argument here-maybe you’d like to comment Why couldn’t Charlie have

come from a parallel line of evolution somewhere else?”

“I was wondering that, too,” came another voice. Danchekker frowned

for a moment before replying.

“No. The point you are overlooking here, I think, is that the

evolutionary process is fundamentally made up of random events.

Every living organism that exists today is the product of a chain

of successive mutations that has continued over millions of years.

The most important fact to grasp is that each discrete mutation is

in itself a purely random event, brought about by aberrations in

genetic coding and the mixing of the sex cells from different par-

ents. The environment into which the mutant is born dictates

whether it will survive to reproduce its kind or whether it will

die out. Thus, some new characteristics are selected for further

miprovement, while others are promptly eradicated and still others

are diluted away by interbreeding.

“There are still people who find this principle difficult to accept

-primarily, I suspect, because they are incapable of visualizing

the implications of numbers and time scales beyond the ranges that

occur in everyday life. Remember we are talking about billions of

billions of combinations coming together over millions of years. “A

game of chess begins with only twenty playable moves to choose

from. At every move the choice available to the player is

restricted, and yet, the number of legitimate positions that the

board could assume after only ten moves is astronomical. Imagine,

then, the number of permutations that could arise when the game

continues for a billion moves and at each move the player has a

billion choices open to him. This is the game of evolution. To

suppose that two such independent sequences could result in end

products that are identical would surely be demanding too much of

our credulity. The laws of chance and statistics are quite firm

when applied to sufficiently large numbers of samples. The laws of

thermodynamics, for example, are nothing more than expressions of

the probable behavior of gas molecules, yet the numbers involved

are so large that we feel quite safe in accepting the postulates as

rigid rules; no significant departure from them has ever been

observed. The probabifity of the parallel line of evolulion that

you suggest is less than the probability of heat flowing from the

kettle to the fire, or of all the air molecules in this room

crowding into one corner at the same time, causing us all to

explode spontaneously. Mathematically speaking, yes-the possibility

of parallelism is finite, but so indescribably remote that we need

consider it no further.”

A young electronics engineer took the argument up at this point

“Couldn’t God get a look in?” he asked. “Or at least, some kind of

guiding force or principle that we don’t yet comprehend? Couldn’t

the same design be produced via different lines in different

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