make an issue of it, which he thought unlikely, but also something, he
warned them, for which they had to be prepared. The formation was spread
out now, three thousand meters between ships, racing west at maximum sus-
tainable speed. That was using up fuel at a dangerous rate, but there would
be a tanker at Guam to refuel them, and Sato wanted to be under his own
ASW umbrella as soon as possible. Once at Guam he could consider future
operations. The first one had been successful. With luck there would not
have to be a second, but if there were, he had many things to consider.
“Contacts?” the Admiral asked, entering the Combat Information Cen-
ter.
“Everything in the air is squawking commercial,” the air-warfare officer
replied.
‘ ‘Military aircraft all carry transponders,” Sato reminded him.’ ‘And they
all work the same way.”
‘ ‘Nothing is approaching us.” The formation was on a course deliberately
offset from normal commercial air corridors, and on looking at the billboard
display, the Admiral could see that traffic was in all those corridors. True, a
military-surveillance aircraft could see them from some of the commercial
tracks, but the Americans had satellites that were just as good. His intelli-
gence estimates had so far proved accurate. The only threat that really con-
cerned him was from submarines, and that one was manageable.
Submarine-launched Harpoon or Tomahawk missiles were a danger with
which he was prepared to deal. Each of the destroyers had her SPY-1D radar
up and operating, scanning the surface. Every fire-control director was
manned. Any inbound cruise missile would be detected and engaged, first by
his American-made (and Japanese-improved) SM-2MR missiles, and be-
hind those weapons were CIWS gatling-gun point-defense systems. They
would stop most of the inbound “vampires,” the generic term for cruise
missiles. A submarine could close and engage with torpedoes, and one of the
larger warheads could kill any ship in his formation. But they would hear the
torpedo coming in, and his ASW helicopters would do their very best to
pounce on the attacking sub, deny her the chance to continue the engage-
ment, and just maybe kill her. The Americans didn’t have all that many sub-
marines, and their commanders would be correspondingly cautious,
especially if he managed to add a third kill to the two already accomplished.
What would the Americans do? Well, what could they do now? he asked
himself. It was a question he’d asked himself again and again, and he always
had the same answer. They’d drawn down too much. They depended on
their ability to deter, forgetting that deterrence hinged on the perceived abil-
ity to take action if deterrence failed: the same old equation of don’t-want-to
but can. Unfortunately for them, the Americans had leaned too much on the
former and neglected the latter, and by all the rules Sato knew, by the time
they could again, their adversary would be able to stop them. The overall
strategic plan he’d helped to execute was not new at all-just better-exe-
cuted than it had been the first time, he thought, standing close to the triple
billboard display and watching the radar symbols of commercial aircraft
march along their defined pathways, their very action proclaiming that the
world was resuming its normal shape without so much as a blip.
The hard part always seemed to come after the decisions were made, Ryan
knew. It wasn’t making them that wore on the soul so much as having to live
with them. Had he done the right things? There was no measure except hind-
sight, and that always came too late. Worse, hindsight was always negative
because you rarely looked back to reconsider things that had gone right. At a
certain level, things stopped being clear-cut. You weighed options, and you
weighed the factors, but very often you knew that no matter which way you
jumped, somebody would be hurt. In those cases the idea was to hurt the
least number of people or things, but even then real people were hurt who
would otherwise not be hurt at all, and you were choosing, really, whose
lives would be injured-or lost-like a disinterested god-figure from my-
thology. It was worse still if you knew some of the players, because they had
faces your mind could see and voices it could hear. The ability to make such
decisions was called moral courage by those who didn’t have to do it, and
stress by those who did.
And yet he had to do it. He’d undertaken this job in the knowledge that
such moments would come. He’d placed Clark and Chavez at risk before in
the liasl African deserl. and he vaguely remembered woiiyiiif> alxml llial,
but the mission had come off and after that it had seemed like tiuk or Ural
on Halloween, a wonderfully clever little game played by nation against na
tion. The fact that a real human being in the person of Mohammed Alxlul
Corp had lost his life as a result-well, it was easy to say, now, that he’d
deserved his fate. Ryan had allowed himself to file that entire memory away
in some locked drawer, to be dredged out years later should he ever succumb
to the urge to write memoirs. But now the memory was back, removed from
the files by the necessity to put the lives of real men at risk again. Jack
locked his confidential papers away before heading toward the Oval Office.
“Off to see the boss,” he told a Secret Service agent in the north-south
corridor.
“SWORDSMAN heading to JUMPER,” the agent said into his microphone,
for to those who protected everyone in what to them was known as the
House, they were as much symbols as men, designations, really, for what
their functions were.
But I’m not a symbol, Jack wanted to tell him. I’ma man, with doubts. He
passed four more agents on the way, and saw how they looked at him, the
trust and respect, how they expected him to know what to do, what to tell the
Boss, as though he were somehow greater than they, and only Ryan knew
that he wasn’t. He’d been foolish enough to accept a job with greater respon-
sibilities than theirs, that’s all, greater than he’d ever wanted.
“Not fun, is it?” Durling said when he entered the office.
‘ ‘Not much.” Jack took his seat.
The President read his advisor’s face and mind at the same time, and
smiled. “Let’s see. I’m supposed to tell you to relax, and you’re supposed to
tell me the same thing, right?”
“Hard to make a correct decision if you’re overstressed,” Ryan agreed.
“Yeah, except for one thing. If you’re not stressed, then it isn’t much of a
decision, and it’s handled at a lower level. The hard ones come here. A lot of
people have commented on that,” the President said. It was a remarkably
generous observation, Jack realized, for it voluntarily took some of the bur-
den off his shoulders by reminding him that he did, after all, merely advise
the President. There was greatness in the man at the ancient oak desk. Jack
wondered how difficult a burden it was to bear, and if its discovery had come
as a surprise-or merely, perhaps, as just one more necessity with which one
had to deal.
“Okay, what is it?”
“I need your permission for something.” Ryan explained the Golovko
offers-the first made in Moscow, and the second only a few hours earlier-
and their implications.
“Does this give us a larger picture?” Durling asked.
“Possibly, but we don’t have enough to go with.”
“And?”
“A decision of this type always goes up to your level,” Ryan told him.
“Why do I have to-”
“Sir, it reveals both the identity of intelligence officers and methods of
operation. I suppose technically it doesn’t have to be your decision, but it is
something you should know about.”
“You recommend approval.” Durling didn’t have to ask.
“Yes, sir.”
“We can trust the Russians?”
“I didn’t say trust, Mr. President. What we have here is a confluence of
needs and abilities, with a little potential blackmail on the side.”
“Run with it,” the President said without much in the way of considera-
tion. Perhaps it was a measure of his trust in Ryan, thus returning the burden
of responsibility back to his visitor. Durling paused for a few seconds before
posing his next question. “What are they up to, Jack?”
“The Japanese? On the face of it, this makes no objective sense at all.
What I keep coming back to is, why kill the submarines? Why kill people? It
just doesn’t seem necessary to have crossed that threshold.”
“Why do this to their most important trading partner?” Durling added,
making the most obvious observation. “We haven’t had a chance to think it
through, have we?”
Ryan shook his head. “Things have certainly piled up on us. We don’t
even know the things we don’t know yet.”
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