The Bear & The Dragon by Clancey, Tom

As Fang had feared, the vote was already decided, and in the in­terests of solidarity, he voted with the rest. Only Qian Kun wavered, but like all the others, he sided with the majority, because it was dangerous to stand alone in any group in the People’s Republic, most of all this one. And besides, Qian was only a candidate member, and didn’t have a vote at this most democratic of tables.

The vote turned out to be unanimous.

Long Chun, it would be called: Operation SPRING DRAGON.

Scott Adler knew Moscow as well as many Russian citizens did, he’d been here so many times, including one tour in the American Em­bassy as a wet-behind-the-ears new foreign-service officer, all those years before, during the Carter Administration. The Air Force flight crew de­livered him on time, and they were accustomed to taking people on covert missions to odd places. This mission was less unusual than most. His aircraft rolled to a stop at the Russian fighter base, and the official car rolled up even before the mechanical steps unfolded. Adler hustled out, unaccompanied even by an aide. A Russian official shook hands with him and got him into the car for the drive into Moscow. Adler was at ease. He knew that he was offering Russia a gift fit for the world’s largest Christmas tree, and he didn’t think they were stupid enough to reject it. No, the Russians were among the world’s most skillful diplo­mats and geopolitical thinkers, a trait that went back sixty years or more. It had struck him as sad, back in 1978, that their adroit people had been chained to a doomed political system—even back then, Adler had seen the demise of the Soviet Union coming. Jimmy Carter’s “human rights” proclamation had been that president’s best and least appreciated foreign-policy play, for it had injected the virus of rot into their politi­cal empire, begun the process of eating away their power in Eastern Eu­rope, and also of letting their own people start to ask questions. It was a pot that Ronald Reagan had sweetened—upping the ante with his defense buildup that had stretched the Soviet economy to the breaking point and beyond, allowing George Bush to be there when they’d tossed in their cards and cast off from the political system that stretched back to Vladimir ll’ych Ulyanov, Lenin himself, the founding father, even the god of Marxism-Leninism. It was usually sad when a god died . . .

. . . but not in this case, Adler thought as the buildings flashed by.

Then he realized that there was one more large but false god out there, Mao Zedong, awaiting final interment in history’s rubbish heap. When would that come? Did this mission have a role to play in that fu­neral? Nixon’s opening to China had played a role in the destruction of the Soviet Union, which historians still had not fully grasped. Would its final echo be found in the fall of the People’s Republic itself? That re­mained to be seen.

The car pulled into the Kremlin through the Spaskiy Gate, then proceeded to the old Council of Ministers Building. There Adler alighted and hurried inside, into an elevator to a third-floor meeting room.

“Mr. Secretary.” The greeting came from Golovko. Adler should have found him an eminence gris, he thought. But Sergey Nikolay’ch was actually a man of genuine intellect and the openness that resulted di­rectly from it. He was not even a pragmatist, but a man who sought what was best for his country, and would search for it everywhere his mind could see. A seeker of truth, SecState thought. That sort of man he and America could live with.

“Chairman. Thank you for receiving us so quickly.”

“Please come with me, Mr. Adler.” Golovko led him through a set of high double doors into what almost appeared to be a throne room. EAGLE couldn’t remember if this building went back to the czars. Presi­dent Eduard Petrovich Grushavoy was waiting for him, already stand­ing politely, looking serious but friendly.

“Mr. Adler,” the Russian president said, with a smile and an ex­tended hand.

“Mr. President, a pleasure to be back in Moscow.”

“Please.” Grushavoy led him to a comfortable set of chairs with a low table. Tea things were already out, and Golovko handled the serv­ing like a trusted earl seeing to the needs of his king and guest.

“Thank you. I’ve always loved the way you serve your tea in Rus­sia.” Adler stirred his and took a sip.

“So, what do you have to say to us?” Grushavoy asked in passable English.

“We have shown you what has become for us a cause for great con­cern.”

“The Chinese,” the Russian president observed. Everyone knew all of this, but the beginning of the conversation would follow the con­ventions of high-level talk, like lawyers discussing a major case in cham­bers.

“Yes, the Chinese. They seem to be contemplating a threat to the peace of the world. America has no wish to see that peace threatened. We’ve all worked very hard—your country and mine—to put an end to conflict. We note with gratitude Russia’s assistance in our most recent conflicts. Just as we were allies sixty years ago, so Russia has acted again lately. America is a country that remembers her friends.”

Golovko let out a breath slowly. Yes, his prediction was about to come true. Ivan Emmetovich was a man of honor, and a friend of his country. What came back to him was the time he’d held a pistol to Ryan’s head, the time Ryan had engineered the defection of KG B chair­man Gerasimov all those years before. Sergey Nikolay’ch had been en­raged back then, as furious as he had ever been in a long and stressful professional life, but he’d held back from firing the pistol because it would have been a foolish act to shoot a man with diplomatic status. Now he blessed his moderation, for now Ivan Emmetovich Ryan offered to Russia what he had always craved from America: predictability. Ryan’s honor, his sense of fair play, the personal honesty that was the most crippling aspect of his newly acquired political persona, all combined to make him a person upon whom Russia could depend. And at this mo­ment, Golovko could do that which he’d spent his life trying to do: He could see the future that lay only a few short minutes away.

“This Chinese threat, it is real, you think?” Grushavoy asked.

“We fear it is,” the American Secretary of State answered. “We hope to forestall it.”

“But how will we accomplish that? China knows of our military weakness. We have de-emphasized our defense capabilities of late, try­ing to shift the funds into areas of greater value to our economy. Now it seems we might pay a bitter price for that,” the Russian president worried aloud.

“Mr. President, we hope to help Russia in that respect.”

“How?”

“Mr. President, even as we speak, President Ryan is also speaking with the NATO chiefs of state and government. He is proposing to them that we invite Russia to sign the North Atlantic Treaty. That will ally the Russian Federation with all of Europe. It ought to make China take a step back to consider the wisdom of a conflict with your country.”

“Ahh,” Grushavoy breathed. “So, America offers Russia a full al­liance of state?”

Adler nodded. “Yes, Mr. President. As we were allies against Hitler, so today we can again be allies against all potential enemies.”

“There are many complications in this, talks between your military and ours, for example—even talks with the NATO command in Bel­gium. It could take months to coordinate our country with NATO.”

“Those are technical matters to be handled by diplomatic and mil­itary technicians. At this level, however, we offer the Russian Federation our friendship in peace and in war. We place the word and the honor of our countries at your disposal.”

“What of the European Union, their Common Market of eco­nomic alliances?”

“That, sir, is something left to the EEC, but America will encour­age our European friends to welcome you completely into the European community, and offer all influence we can muster to that end.”

“What do you ask in return?” Grushavoy asked. Golovko hadn’t of­fered that prediction. This could be the answer to many Russian prayers, though his mind made the leap to see that Russian oil would be a major boon to Europe, and hence a matter of mutual, not unilateral, profit.

“We ask for nothing special in return. It is in the American inter­est to help make a stable and peaceful world. We welcome Russia into that world. Friendship between your people and ours is desirable to everyone, is it not?”

“And in our friendship is profit also for America,” Golovko pointed out.

Adler sat back and smiled agreement. “Of course. Russia will sell things to America, and America will sell things to Russia. We will be­come neighbors in the global village, friendly neighbors. We will com­pete economically, giving and taking from each other, as we do with many other countries.”

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