DANIEL DEFOE. A JOURNAL OF THE PLAGUE YEAR

as was in the first seven years after the plague, and after the

fire of London.

It remains now that I should say something of the merciful part of

this terrible judgement. The last week in September, the plague being

come to its crisis, its fury began to assuage. I remember my friend Dr

Heath, coming to see me the week before, told me he was sure that the

violence of it would assuage in a few days; but when I saw the weekly

bill of that week, which was the highest of the whole year, being 8297

of all diseases, I upbraided him with it, and asked him what he had

made his judgement from. His answer, however, was not so much to

seek as I thought it would have been. ‘Look you,’ says he, ‘by the

number which are at this time sick and infected, there should have

been twenty thousand dead the last week instead of eight thousand, if

the inveterate mortal contagion had been as it was two weeks ago; for

then it ordinarily killed in two or three days, now not under eight or

ten; and then not above one in five recovered, whereas I have

observed that now not above two in five miscarry. And, observe it

from me, the next bill will decrease, and you will see many more

people recover than used to do; for though a vast multitude are now

everywhere infected, and as many every day fall sick, yet there will

not so many die as there did, for the malignity of the distemper is

abated’; – adding that he began now to hope, nay, more than hope, that

the infection had passed its crisis and was going off; and accordingly

so it was, for the next week being, as I said, the last in September, the

bill decreased almost two thousand.

It is true the plague was still at a frightful height, and the next bill

was no less than 6460, and the next to that, 5720; but still my friend’s

observation was just, and it did appear the people did recover faster

and more in number than they used to do; and indeed, if it had not

been so, what had been the condition of the city of London? For,

according to my friend, there were not fewer than 60,000 people at

that time infected, whereof, as above, 20,477 died, and near 40,000

recovered; whereas, had it been as it was before, 50,000 of that

number would very probably have died, if not more, and 50,000 more

would have sickened; for, in a word, the whole mass of people began

to sicken, and it looked as if none would escape.

But this remark of my friend’s appeared more evident in a few

weeks more, for the decrease went on, and another week in October it

decreased 1843, so that the number dead of the plague was but 2665;

and the next week it decreased 1413 more, and yet it was seen plainly

that there was abundance of people sick, nay, abundance more than

ordinary, and abundance fell sick every day but (as above) the

malignity of the disease abated.

Such is the precipitant disposition of our people (whether it is so or

not all over the world, that’s none of my particular business to

inquire), but I saw it apparently here, that as upon the first fright of

the infection they shunned one another, and fled from one another’s

houses and from the city with an unaccountable and, as I thought,

unnecessary fright, so now, upon this notion spreading, viz., that the

distemper was not so catching as formerly, and that if it was catched it

was not so mortal, and seeing abundance of people who really fell

sick recover again daily, they took to such a precipitant courage, and

grew so entirely regardless of themselves and of the infection, that

they made no more of the plague than of an ordinary fever, nor indeed

so much. They not only went boldly into company with those who

had tumours and carbuncles upon them that were running, and

consequently contagious, but ate and drank with them, nay, into their

houses to visit them, and even, as I was told, into their very chambers

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